Saturday, May 7, 2016

The Proposition that Rising CO2 Cools Central Antarctica

... no, I haven't lost my mind.

Background

I've written about this topic previously, I think in conversations with Chic Bowdrie.  Rather than try to dig that up again, I give the present inspiration for writing this note dedicated to the concept.  From Dr. Curry's Climate Etc. blog, we read these two comments:
captdallas2 0.8 +/- 0.3 | May 7, 2016 at 3:13 pm |

[Steven Mosher] “C02 does it’s work ABOVE the ERL.”

What’s the effective temperature of that effective radiant layer again?

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captdallas2 0.8 +/- 0.3 | May 7, 2016 at 5:26 pm |

RiHo08, “Is this the battle ground where CO2 and Ozone duke it out; one for cooling and the other warming?”

All of the greenhouse gases have temperature and pressure “sweet spots” where they are most effective at doing the greenhouse thing. Below that sweet spot they become less and less effective as noted in the Antarctic where increasing CO2 likely increases cooling.

Friday, May 6, 2016

Fort McMurray Wildfire and Climate Change

... another example of the uneasy interface between policy politics and science.

Background

CTV in Calgary has what appears to be the grabbiest headline as well as some sobering numbers:
Wildfire near Fort McMurray grows to over 100,000 hectares

[...]

Thousands of people who became trapped after fleeing the fires in and around Fort McMurray earlier this week are being moved out of the area to safety by RCMP and air transport.

An evacuation order was issued for Fort McMurray and surrounding communities earlier this week and more than 80,000 people left the area.

About 25,000 evacuees headed north to oilsands camps and some became stranded after several roads in the area were closed. Approximately 7000 were air lifted out on Thursday by WestJet and other carriers.
Converting hectares to more familiar units, we get 386 square miles.  For comparison, the US State of Rhode Island weighs in at 1,212 square miles, so this fire has burnt an area equal to nearly 1/3 the size.  Including the endzones, that works out to 186,824 American Football fields.  I don't think I need to convert to Olympic-sized swimming pools; you get the point.

There have been larger wildfires; the main issue with this one is that it's threatening a sizable population center, prompting a large evacuation requiring airlifts due to road closures.

Well that, and the inevitable controversy when climate scientists go on record in the mainstream press saying climate change is a factor.

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

May the Fourth Be With You

Number 1138 on the list of things in Star Wars that is just not fair are not real:

Figure 1 - Probably not the best way to ... dialog ... with a climate contrarian, but let it not be said I haven't sometimes wished it.



Tuesday, May 3, 2016

Confessions of a Warmist Propaganda Artist

... or letting it all hang out for the sake of humanity's collective future.

Prologue

After long threatening to do so, I've finally waded into the fray over at Dr. Judith Curry's Climate Etc. blog.  After a year of slaying incognito Sky Dragon Slayers at WUWT and two weeks trying to be "nice" and failing at Lucia Liljegren's lukewarmist The Blackboard, I have apparently reached the fuckit bucket tipping point of my blogging career: I'm a climate propagandist towing the IPCC Consensus party line, Comrades.  Not even going to pretend to be otherwise, it's too much damn work.